Ouch! This is one week you just want to tear up and throw away. At least, I admitted up front that I didn't have a good sense of the games this week. And remember, there is an exception to every rule (especially the 2 I mentioned in my post).
This week:
Overall: 9-18
College 6-9
Pros 3-9
Locks 3-2
Year to Date:
Overall: 43-40 (51.8%)
College: 25-19 (56.8%)
Pro: 18-21 (46.2%)
Locks: 10-5 (66.7%)
Honestly, very few lines are jumping out at me this week. That means it's a tough week to pick. When that's the case, I usually play by a few general rules:
1) When bad teams collide, take the points.
2) Play the best teams against bad teams until they prove you wrong.
Rule #1 applies to games like Iowa St and Texas A&M and the pro Tennessee vs. Jacksonville game. Rule #2 applies to OU, Colts, Chargers, and Saints. Sometimes you just have to play the odds.
Locks
Oregon St -10
Iowa -17.5 YES
Wisc -6.5 YES
AZ ST +6.5 YES
Michigan -7
Other College
Rutgers +7.5 YES
FSU -8.5
Iowa St +6.5
Georgia +15.5
ND -29.5
USC -4.5
Texas -9.5 YES
OU -26.5
Miami -7.5
Boise St -34.5 YES
Pros
Houston -3.5 YES
Miami +4.5 YES
Indy -11.5
Dallas -9.5 YES
Cleveland +13.5
Denver + 3.5
NY Giants Even
San Diego -16.5
Jacksonville +3.5
Arizona -9.5
GB -3.5
NO -9/5
Sunday, November 01, 2009
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